Guardians vs Angels Today: First Pitch, Pitchers & Moneyline
First pitch Mon 9:38 PM ET. On the mound: Parker Messick (Guardians) vs George Klassen (Angels). Moneyline: Guardians -148 (Betcris) at Angels +143 (Caesars) — best prices across 15 books. Full line, total, and props on the live MLB odds screen.
The Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels board opens with Zach Neto at +500 to homer. Every priced bat for tonight is below, with the best book on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Neto (LAA) | +500 | Polymarket 🎁 | 16.7% | 35 |
| Mike Trout (LAA) | +506 | NoVig | 16.5% | 33 |
| Chase DeLauter (CLE) | +529 | ProphetX | 15.9% | 34 |
| Jose Ramirez (CHW) | +573 | Kalshi | 14.9% | 37 |
| Jo Adell (CLE) | +573 | Kalshi | 14.9% | 37 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) | +598 | ProphetX | 14.3% | 35 |
| Jose Siri (LAA) | +763 | PolymarketUS 🎁 | 11.6% | 32 |
| Christian Moore (LAA) | +820 | FanDuel 🎁 | 10.9% | 30 |
New to DraftKings? New users can Spend $5+, Get $200 in Bonuses ($50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days for 21 days).
Which of these prices is actually +EV? OS Pro flags the edges on this exact board — free 7-day trial, and code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 24, 2026 · 03:45 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Angel Stadium: park index 104.0 · wind 4 mph.
- Jo Adell (CLE) — on the bat alone — homers every 21 PA against righties, with nothing in the park or matchup either way. (model confidence B)
- books: best +545 at NoVig | exchanges: Polymarket +539 · ProphetX +519 · NoVig +545
- Zach Neto (LAA) — punishes four-seam fastballs 17% of the time, and that is 54% of what this starter throws · homers every 19 PA against lefties · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips. (model confidence B)
- books: best +500 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +500 · NoVig +400
- Mike Trout (LAA) — bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +450 at Fanatics
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) — homers every 26 PA against righties · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence C)
- books: best +525 at NoVig | exchanges: Polymarket +500 · NoVig +525
- Jose Siri (LAA) — homers every 19 PA against lefties · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +733 at NoVig | exchanges: Polymarket +698 · ProphetX +627 · NoVig +733
- Gustavo Campero (LAA) — 39% of his damage flies pull-side · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +1200 at Fanatics | exchanges: Polymarket +1066
- Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) — homers every 26 PA against righties. (model confidence B)
- books: best +584 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +584
- Angel Genao (CLE) — 34% of his damage flies pull-side. (model confidence C)
- books: best +1078 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +1078
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- Stokastic MLB Prop Tool on Tails likes Jose Siri Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+963). Bet now → Polymarket
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes Mike Trout Over 0.5 Total Stolen Bases (+2250). Bet now → HardRock
- MisterMarkot on Tails likes Cleveland Guardians Moneyline (-156). Bet now
- BGrebbs on Tails likes Cleveland Guardians -1.5 Run Line (+113). Bet now
More from these experts on Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels. BGrebbs, MisterMarkot post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins · Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants · Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals · Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics · Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners · Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres · Tampa Bay Rays @ Detroit Tigers · Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels today? Zach Neto at +500 (Polymarket) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play.
New to Polymarket? Code OS4 gets you a $20 trading bonus on a $10 deposit — affiliate link; terms as stated by Polymarket; 18+, availability varies by state.
Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
