The San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians board opens with Rhys Hoskins at +450 to homer. Every priced bat for tonight is below, with the best book on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (CLE) | +450 | BetMGM 🎁 | 18.2% | 5 |
| Jose Ramirez (CHW) | +573 | Kalshi | 14.9% | 30 |
| Jo Adell (CLE) | +575 | Bet365 | 14.8% | 29 |
| Bryce Eldridge (SF) | +584 | Polymarket 🎁 | 14.6% | 31 |
| Rafael Devers (SF) | +625 | Kalshi | 13.8% | 32 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (CIN) | +641 | NoVig | 13.5% | 24 |
| Angel Martinez (CLE) | +669 | NoVig | 13.0% | 19 |
| Drew Gilbert (HOU) | +875 | BetMGM 🎁 | 10.3% | 5 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 19, 2026 · 09:05 AM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Progressive Field: park index 97.3 · wind 3 mph.
- Bryce Eldridge (SF) — punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 43% of what this starter throws · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +575 at HardRock | exchanges: Polymarket +539 · ProphetX +559 · NoVig +567
- Jo Adell (CLE) — baseline power edge. (model confidence C)
- books: best +575 at Bet365 | exchanges: Kalshi +573 · ProphetX +519 · NoVig +506
- Rafael Devers (SF) — bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +625 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +625 · Polymarket +500 · ProphetX +559 · NoVig +545
- Victor Bericoto (SF) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +910 at DraftKings | exchanges: Polymarket +857 · ProphetX +813 · NoVig +809
- Rhys Hoskins (CLE) — baseline power edge. (model confidence C)
- books: best +450 at BetMGM | exchanges: NoVig +426
- José Ramírez (CLE) — bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +573 at Kalshi | exchanges: Kalshi +573 · ProphetX +539 · NoVig +545
- Jonah Cox (SF) — bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +1300 at Bet365 | exchanges: ProphetX +833 · NoVig +900
- Osleivis Basabe (SF) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +1040 at DraftKings | exchanges: Polymarket +963 · ProphetX +823 · NoVig +1011
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- JediModi on Tails (#10 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Jo Adell Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+575). Bet now → Bet365
- BGrebbs on Tails likes these plays:
- Cobi O'Connell on Tails likes Jose Ramirez Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+625). Bet now → FanDuel
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes Steven Kwan Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+2242). Bet now → Kalshi
- The Bet Baba on Tails likes Foster Griffin Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts (-108). Bet now → DraftKings
More from these experts on San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians. BGrebbs, Cobi O'Connell, JediModi, The Bet Baba post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox · Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins · Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs · Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates · Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros · Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies · Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies · New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles · Oakland Athletics @ Kansas City Royals · San Diego Padres @ New York Mets. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians today? Rhys Hoskins at +450 (BetMGM) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play.
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Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
