Cardinals vs Reds Today: First Pitch & Moneyline
First pitch Tue 6:40 PM ET. Moneyline: Cardinals -115 (Bet365) at Reds +110 (HardRock) — best prices across 28 books. Full line, total, and props on the live MLB odds screen.
Jordan Walker at +358 headlines the St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds home run board — 8 bats priced to go deep tonight, and the board below shows the book paying the most on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker (STL) | +358 | Polymarket 🎁 | 21.8% | 34 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | +434 | Polymarket 🎁 | 18.7% | 34 |
| Blaze Jordan (STL) | +450 | BetMGM 🎁 | 18.2% | 3 |
| Sal Stewart (CIN) | +465 | Polymarket 🎁 | 17.7% | 34 |
| Eugenio Suárez (CIN) | +470 | ProphetX | 17.5% | 32 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | +475 | Bet365 | 17.4% | 35 |
| Joshua Baez (STL) | +475 | Bet365 | 17.4% | 29 |
| JJ Bleday (CIN) | +475 | Bet365 | 17.4% | 34 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 18, 2026 · 10:35 AM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Great American Ball Park: park index 110.5 · wind 7 mph.
- Sal Stewart (CIN) — punishes sliders, and that is 37% of what this starter throws · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +465 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +465 · ProphetX +436 · NoVig +376
- Eugenio Suárez (CIN) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +470 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +470 · NoVig +441
- Alec Burleson (STL) — 21% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 7 mph · punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 58% of what this starter throws · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +434 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +434 · ProphetX +407 · NoVig +400
- Jordan Walker (STL) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +381 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +381 · ProphetX +358 · NoVig +335
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — 14% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 7 mph · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +475 at Bet365 | exchanges: Kalshi +456 · Polymarket +465 · ProphetX +466 · NoVig +413
- Iván Herrera (STL) — bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +529 at ProphetX | exchanges: Polymarket +500 · ProphetX +529 · NoVig +456
- Joshua Báez (STL) — baseline power edge. (model confidence C)
- books: best +475 at Bet365 | exchanges: Polymarket +465 · ProphetX +446 · NoVig +413
- JJ Bleday (CIN) — 31% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 7 mph · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +475 at Bet365 | exchanges: Polymarket +465 · ProphetX +446 · NoVig +413
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox · Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins · Chicago White Sox @ Chicago Cubs · Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates · Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros · Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies · Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies · New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles · Oakland Athletics @ Kansas City Royals · San Diego Padres @ New York Mets. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
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FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds today? Jordan Walker at +358 (Polymarket) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play.
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Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
