The Quick Answer
Sixty-seven receiving-yards markets are live on Thursday's San Francisco at Los Angeles Rams opener, and George Kittle does not have one of them in his name. Some players carry four or five lines stacked upward from a low number, some carry one or two, and Kittle carries none. The deepest ladders belong to Puka Nacua, Mike Evans and Christian McCaffrey, and Nacua's fell overnight, his 70+ sitting at 56% against 72% a day earlier. How many rungs a name carries is the most useful thing here: it tracks how much football the board prices him being out there for.
The Numbers
| Outcome | Chance now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans: 15+ | 91% | 82% | +9 |
| Christian McCaffrey: 15+ | 88% | 87% | +1 |
| Mike Evans: 25+ | 80% | 80% | flat |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.: 15+ | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Puka Nacua: 50+ | 73% | 81% | -8 |
| Christian McCaffrey: 25+ | 73% | 73% | flat |
| Davante Adams: 25+ | 70% | 81% | -11 |
| Puka Nacua: 60+ | 65% | 75% | -10 |
| Colby Parkinson: 15+ | 63% | 68% | -5 |
| Puka Nacua: 80+ | 61% | 61% | flat |
| Deebo Samuel Sr.: 25+ | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Davante Adams: 40+ | 58% | 67% | -9 |
| Puka Nacua: 70+ | 56% | 72% | -16 |
| Mike Evans: 40+ | 55% | 64% | -9 |
Another 53 markets sit at 48% or less, unitemized in the source, so this is the top of the board.
Four Rungs, Two Rungs, No Rungs
Among the rows above 48%, Nacua carries four: 50+, 60+, 70+ and 80+. Evans carries three. McCaffrey carries two, plus a 40+ that was the board's busiest market over the last 24 hours at 725 contracts.
Against those, Deebo Samuel Sr. stops at 25+ and Colby Parkinson at 15+, the shape of a name priced for situational work rather than a full game. A climbing ladder is a set of bets that a player is out there long enough to pile up yards. A ladder that stops low is not.
Two of Nacua's rungs sit the wrong way round. The board has his 80+ at 61% and his 70+ at 56%, pricing the harder outcome above the easier one, since any game clearing 80 yards has already cleared 70. No per-market volume is given for either, so a thin quote cannot be ruled out.
Nacua's Ladder Fell While The News Got Better
The overnight slide is the sharpest thing on the board: 70+ down 16 points, 60+ down 10, 50+ down 8. It came after the public record got more reassuring, not less. Rams head coach Sean McVay, asked Sunday whether he expected Nacua available, said, "Absolutely. That's what I've heard. I haven't heard anything different." On Monday, ESPN's Adam Schefter said Nacua is "gonna be out there against the San Francisco 49ers" and is unlikely to face discipline this season.
That refers to a March 2026 lawsuit alleging Nacua bit a woman and her friend and made an antisemitic comment at a dinner. He denies it, and as of a September 3 CBS Sports report the league had not disciplined him.
Two things complicate the read. ESPN's injury report separately lists Nacua questionable with a core issue, which the availability reporting does not address. And Adams fell the same morning, 25+ down 11 and 40+ down 9, with Evans down 9 at 40+, so the move may not be about Nacua alone. A bolavip headline dated September 8 calls him hopeful to play amid suspension rumors, which is a rumor rather than a development.
The Name With No Line At All
ESPN's injury report lists Kittle questionable with an Achilles, and he has no receiving-yards market anywhere on this board. Treat that as a decision rather than an oversight: an exchange with room for 53 markets at 48% or less had room for a Kittle 15+.
Set the blank against an encouraging record. He tore an Achilles on January 11, 2026, came off the physically unable to perform list on August 23, and returned to full team drills on September 1. General manager John Lynch said he had "absolutely crushed" every recovery measure, and head coach Kyle Shanahan walked back an earlier remark that Kittle had taken a step back: "George has been great. He's passing everything."
He was also in full uniform for San Francisco's practice in Melbourne on Tuesday, the day this board was read. So either the board is pricing something the public record does not show, or the absence reflects how this exchange picks what to list. What is still missing is San Francisco's official designation and who plays behind him.
About The Numbers
Prices run 0 to 100 and read as a percentage chance: 91 means about a 91% chance. Each row is one yes-or-no question about one player reaching one number, not a projection, which is why the column adds up past 100: the questions overlap rather than dividing one outcome. "Yesterday" is the prior day's level and "change" the gap between them. Contracts traded counts how many changed hands; open contracts, about 14,266 here, counts positions still live. The markets close September 13 although the game is scheduled for September 10, leaving room for settlement. Each rule names one player, one number and this game.
