The Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers board opens with Munetaka Murakami at +337 to homer. Every priced bat for tonight is below, with the best book on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munetaka Murakami (CHW) | +337 | Polymarket 🎁 | 22.9% | 35 |
| Colson Montgomery (CHW) | +434 | Polymarket 🎁 | 18.7% | 35 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | +471 | NoVig | 17.5% | 35 |
| Eduardo Valencia (DET) | +525 | NoVig | 16.0% | 8 |
| Miguel Vargas (CHW) | +539 | Polymarket 🎁 | 15.6% | 31 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | +567 | NoVig | 15.0% | 35 |
| Andrew Benintendi (CHW) | +600 | BetMGM 🎁 | 14.3% | 35 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | +650 | BetMGM 🎁 | 13.3% | 3 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 14, 2026 · 12:55 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Comerica Park: park index 94.0 · wind 11 mph.
- Colson Montgomery (CWS) — 31% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 7 mph. (model confidence B)
- books: best +434 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +434 · ProphetX +421 · NoVig +426
- Dillon Dingler (DET) — punishes four-seam fastballs, and that is 54% of what this starter throws · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence B)
- books: best +567 at NoVig | exchanges: Polymarket +539 · ProphetX +519 · NoVig +567
- Miguel Vargas (CWS) — baseline power edge. (model confidence B)
- books: best +539 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +539 · ProphetX +519 · NoVig +506
- Spencer Torkelson (DET) — baseline power edge. (model confidence B)
- books: best +471 at NoVig | exchanges: Polymarket +465 · ProphetX +451 · NoVig +471
- Max Clark (DET) — 36% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 7 mph. (model confidence C)
- books: best +1200 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +1078 · NoVig +1011
- Gleyber Torres (DET) — bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips. (model confidence B)
- books: best +800 at TheScore | exchanges: Polymarket +698 · ProphetX +725 · NoVig +733
- Kevin McGonigle (DET) — 17% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 7 mph. (model confidence B)
- books: best +750 at BetRivers | exchanges: Polymarket +637 · ProphetX +725 · NoVig +700
- Braden Montgomery (CWS) — 30% of his damage flies pull-side, and the wind is blowing out that way at 7 mph. (model confidence C)
- books: best +1000 at Fanatics | exchanges: Polymarket +857 · ProphetX +902 · NoVig +953
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- CDR Betting on Tails likes Under 8.5 Total Runs (100). Bet now
- JediModi on Tails (#1 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+275). Bet now → Bet365
- Nothin' But Dingers on Tails likes Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+637). Bet now → Polymarket
More from these experts on Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers. CDR Betting, JediModi post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves · Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays · Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates · Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants · Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels · Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds · Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers · New York Yankees @ Toronto Blue Jays · San Diego Padres @ Cleveland Guardians · Seattle Mariners @ Houston Astros. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
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