Jo Adell at +275 headlines the Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies home run board — 8 bats priced to go deep tonight, and the board below shows the book paying the most on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo Adell (CLE) | +275 | Bet365 | 26.7% | 10 |
| Chase DeLauter (CLE) | +390 | Bovada | 20.4% | 27 |
| Jose Ramirez (CHW) | +405 | Circa | 19.8% | 36 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | +425 | Circa | 19.0% | 17 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (CIN) | +440 | Circa | 18.5% | 32 |
| Travis Bazzana (CLE) | +539 | Polymarket 🎁 | 15.6% | 33 |
| Angel Martinez (CLE) | +550 | Fanatics | 15.4% | 18 |
| Patrick Bailey (CLE) | +600 | Fanatics | 14.3% | 19 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 21, 2026 · 01:15 PM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Coors Field: park index 129.3 · wind 1 mph.
- José Ramírez (CLE) — 45% of his damage flies pull-side. (model confidence B)
- books: best +406 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +406
- Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) — homers every 26 PA against righties. (model confidence B)
- books: best +434 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +434 · ProphetX +392
- Angel Genao (CLE) — 34% of his damage flies pull-side. (model confidence C)
- books: best +500 at BetMGM
- Travis Bazzana (CLE) — homers every 32 PA against righties · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence C)
- books: best +539 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +539
- Angel Martínez (CLE) — 39% of his damage flies pull-side. (model confidence B)
- books: best +500 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +446
- TJ Rumfield (COL) — on the bat alone — homers every 71 PA against lefties, with nothing in the park or matchup either way. (model confidence C)
- books: best +700 at Caesars
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips. (model confidence B)
- books: best +963 at Polymarket | exchanges: Polymarket +963
- Petey Halpin (CLE) — on the bat alone — homers every 56 PA against righties, with nothing in the park or matchup either way. (model confidence C)
- books: best +600 at BetMGM
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- Rebel Mickie on Tails likes Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Total Bases (-135). Bet now
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes Braxton Fulford Over 1.5 Total Bases (+260). Bet now → HardRock
- Cobi O'Connell on Tails likes Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+655). Bet now → DraftKings
- CDR Betting on Tails likes Colorado Rockies +1.5 Run Line (-118). Bet now
- OddsShopper PRO on Tails likes Tanner Gordon Under 14.5 Total Pitching Outs (+125).
More from these experts on Cleveland Guardians @ Colorado Rockies. CDR Betting, Cobi O'Connell, Rebel Mickie post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers · Chicago Cubs @ Seattle Mariners · Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals · Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers · Minnesota Twins @ San Diego Padres · New York Mets @ Chicago White Sox · Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros · Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers · San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
