Mike Trout at +490 headlines the Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels home run board — 8 bats priced to go deep tonight, and the board below shows the book paying the most on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout (LAA) | +490 | Kalshi | 16.9% | 27 |
| Jo Adell (CLE) | +525 | Fanatics | 16.0% | 27 |
| Zach Neto (LAA) | +550 | Fanatics | 15.4% | 27 |
| Jose Siri (LAA) | +590 | NoVig | 14.5% | 14 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) | +680 | FanDuel 🎁 | 12.8% | 24 |
| Jose Ramirez (CHW) | +685 | Kalshi | 12.7% | 26 |
| Chase DeLauter (CLE) | +700 | Fanatics | 12.5% | 25 |
| Josh Lowe (LAA) | +800 | Fanatics | 11.1% | 26 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 25, 2026 · 10:10 AM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Angel Stadium: park index 103.9 · wind 3 mph.
- Jo Adell (CLE) — on the bat alone — homers every 22 PA against righties, with nothing in the park or matchup either way. (model confidence B)
- books: best +550 at Fanatics | exchanges: Kalshi +490 · ProphetX +470
- Mike Trout (LAA) — homers every 22 PA against righties · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +475 at Fanatics
- Zach Neto (LAA) — punishes four-seam fastballs 17% of the time, and that is 31% of what this starter throws · bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +525 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +456 · NoVig +488
- José Ramírez (CLE) — 44% of his damage flies pull-side · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence B)
- books: best +600 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +510
- Nathaniel Lowe (CLE) — homers every 26 PA against righties. (model confidence B)
- books: best +750 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +627
- Vaughn Grissom (LAA) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +950 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +784
- Moisés Ballesteros (LAA) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +800 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +627
- Gustavo Campero (LAA) — 39% of his damage flies pull-side · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence C)
- books: best +950 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +774
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- JediModi on Tails likes Zach Neto Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+488). Bet now → DraftKings
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes these plays:
- Stokastic MLB Prop Tool on Tails (#3 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes these plays:
- SEvansBets on Tails likes Steven Kwan Over 1.5 Total Bases (+165). Bet now
- MisterMarkot on Tails (#4 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Cleveland Guardians Moneyline (-156). Bet now
More from these experts on Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels. JediModi, MisterMarkot, SEvansBets post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals · Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins · Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants · Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals · Houston Astros @ New York Yankees · Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays · Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves · Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets · Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels today? Mike Trout at +490 (Kalshi) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play.
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Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
