The Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals board opens with Dylan Crews at +525 to homer. Every priced bat for tonight is below, with the best book on each.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Crews (WSH) | +525 | Bet365 | 16.0% | 33 |
| CJ Abrams (WSH) | +550 | BetRivers 🎁 | 15.4% | 33 |
| Abimelec Ortiz (WSH) | +567 | NoVig | 15.0% | 29 |
| Brett Sullivan (COL) | +600 | BetMGM 🎁 | 14.3% | 3 |
| Andres Chaparro (WSH) | +650 | BetRivers 🎁 | 13.3% | 6 |
| Brady House (WSH) | +660 | Underdog 🎁 | 13.2% | 31 |
| Mickey Moniak (COL) | +750 | Unibet | 11.8% | 29 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WSH) | +809 | NoVig | 11.0% | 31 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 25, 2026 · 10:10 AM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Nationals Park: park index 95.2 · wind 2 mph.
- Willi Castro (COL) — on the bat alone — homers every 32 PA against lefties, with nothing in the park or matchup either way. (model confidence B)
- books: best +800 at FanDuel | exchanges: ProphetX +764
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — bats 1, so he gets 4.3 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +1300 at Fanatics | exchanges: Polymarket +963 · ProphetX +833
- TJ Rumfield (COL) — on the bat alone — homers every 71 PA against lefties, with nothing in the park or matchup either way. (model confidence C)
- books: best +950 at Fanatics | exchanges: Polymarket +770 · ProphetX +833 · NoVig +900
- Connor Norby (COL) — on the bat alone — homers every 59 PA against lefties, with nothing in the park or matchup either way. (model confidence B)
- books: best +950 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +813
- Ezequiel Tovar (COL) — on the bat alone — homers every 50 PA against lefties, with nothing in the park or matchup either way. (model confidence B)
- books: best +953 at NoVig | exchanges: ProphetX +882 · NoVig +953
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- Stokastic MLB Prop Tool on Tails (#3 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Ezequiel Tovar Over 1.5 Total Bases (+218). Bet now → DraftKings
- EMac on Tails (#3 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Washington Nationals -1.5 Run Line (+145). Bet now → HardRock
- KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS on Tails likes 6-leg parlay on this game (+738). Bet now
- BGrebbs on Tails likes Keibert Ruiz Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+839). Bet now
- ShanderBets on Tails likes Zac Veen Under 0.5 Total Hits (-115). Bet now
- DFSnDonuts Picks on Tails (#5 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes these plays:
- JmetalK on Tails likes Ryan Feltner Under 3.5 Total Strikeouts (+127). Bet now
More from these experts on Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals. BGrebbs, DFSnDonuts Picks, JmetalK, KONGLOMERATE SPORTS PICKS post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals · Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins · Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants · Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels · Houston Astros @ New York Yankees · Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays · Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves · Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets · Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
You don't have to handicap this — OddsShopper does the work for you. OddsShopper reads the sharp books that set the fair line, checks every price for an edge, and surfaces only the +EV plays — no hours of research required. Every play it flags is backtested against real historical results. Try OS Pro free for 7 days; code SMARTBET20 takes 20% off: Start your free trial.
FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals today? Dylan Crews at +525 (Bet365) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play.
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Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
