Munetaka Murakami (+406) and Colson Montgomery (+465) lead tonight's Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox home run prices — the full board and the best number on each swing is below.
Home Run Board for This Game
| Player | Best HR Price | Best Book | Implied | Books |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munetaka Murakami (CHW) | +406 | Polymarket 🎁 | 19.8% | 35 |
| Colson Montgomery (CHW) | +465 | Polymarket 🎁 | 17.7% | 35 |
| Miguel Vargas (CHW) | +480 | ProphetX | 17.2% | 34 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | +500 | Fanatics | 16.7% | 35 |
| Danny Jansen (TEX) | +525 | BetMGM 🎁 | 16.0% | 3 |
| Jake Burger (TEX) | +539 | Polymarket 🎁 | 15.6% | 34 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | +600 | Fanatics | 14.3% | 34 |
| Brandon Nimmo (TEX) | +650 | Fanatics | 13.3% | 35 |
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The Yard's Model Read On This Game
Model board updated August 25, 2026 · 10:30 AM ET. The table above is the market; this is the model — park, wind against each hitter's spray pattern, the starter's pitch mix, and lineup slot, computed for every priced bat tonight. It is context, not a pick.
Tonight at Rate Field: park index 102.9 · wind 6 mph.
- Munetaka Murakami (CWS) — homers every 13 PA against righties · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips. (model confidence C)
- books: best +372 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +372 · NoVig +365
- Corey Seager (TEX) — punishes four-seam fastballs 17% of the time, and that is 19% of what this starter throws · bats 2, so he gets 4.2 trips · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +500 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +490
- Jake Burger (TEX) — homers every 16 PA against lefties. (model confidence B)
- books: best +510 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +510
- Colson Montgomery (CWS) — 31% of his damage flies pull-side. (model confidence B)
- books: best +451 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +451
- Miguel Vargas (CWS) — punishes sliders 14% of the time, and that is 53% of what this starter throws · 30% of his damage flies pull-side. (model confidence B)
- books: best +480 at ProphetX | exchanges: ProphetX +480
- Brandon Nimmo (TEX) — sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +650 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +578
- Wyatt Langford (TEX) — 40% of his damage flies pull-side · sees the starter a 3rd time. (model confidence B)
- books: best +600 at Fanatics
- Andrew Benintendi (CWS) — punishes four-seam fastballs 15% of the time, and that is 46% of what this starter throws · 32% of his damage flies pull-side. (model confidence B)
- books: best +700 at Fanatics | exchanges: ProphetX +578
Exchange prices are two-sided event contracts (Kalshi, Polymarket) quoted beside the sportsbooks because they carry little to no hold — the honest comparison. 18+; availability varies.
Expert picks for this game
These are real plays from OddsShopper experts you can follow on Tails:
- MisterMarkot on Tails (#4 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Jacob deGrom Over 6.5 Total Strikeouts (+100). Bet now
- PrizePick Champions on Tails likes Kumar Rocker Under 2.5 Total Earned Runs (-122). Bet now → PrizePicks
- Bank of Dennis on Tails likes these plays:
- Conormacpicks on Tails likes Over 8 Total Runs (-115).
- Paul Rami on Tails likes Over 4.5 Total Runs 5I (+101).
- Nothin' But Dingers on Tails (#10 on the MLB Most Profit leaderboard) likes Danny Jansen Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200). Bet now → Bet365
- Stokastic Daily Fantasy on Tails likes Danny Jansen Over 0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200). Bet now → Bet365
- OddsShopper PRO on Tails likes Kumar Rocker Under 4.5 Total Hits Allowed (+120). Bet now → Polymarket
- EMac on Tails (#3 on the MLB Hot Streak leaderboard) likes Chicago White Sox -1.5 Run Line (+170). Bet now → HardRock
More from these experts on Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox. MisterMarkot, PrizePick Champions post full premium cards on Tails. See their cards on Tails.
Want the full slate, not just this game? Lindy's picks for every MLB game today breaks down the whole board in his own words, and the MLB Home Run Cheat Sheet ranks tonight's best HR prices across every book. Playing the season-long markets too? The AI panel's AL MVP and NL MVP verdict boards track the award races all year.
Tonight's Other Home Run Boards
Every game on the slate gets the same board: Baltimore Orioles @ St. Louis Cardinals · Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins · Chicago Cubs @ Arizona Diamondbacks · Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants · Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Angels · Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals · Houston Astros @ New York Yankees · Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays · Los Angeles Dodgers @ Atlanta Braves · Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets. The MLB Home Run Picks hub ranks the top prices across all of them.
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FAQ
Who has the best home run odds for Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox today? Munetaka Murakami at +406 (Polymarket) is the shortest price; the table above lists the best book for every play.
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Odds shown are the best available as of publication and move quickly. Shop live prices on OddsShopper. Bet 21+ where legal; play responsibly.
