Prices as of 1:20 PM ET, Thursday, September 10, 2026: Kalshi asks from the exchange's public API, DraftKings odds from its published betting-splits table at the same hour.
Take the fifteen games left on the Week 1 board, both sides of each moneyline, and put the Kalshi price next to the DraftKings price. As of 1:20 PM ET on Thursday, September 10, 2026, the Kalshi ask was lower than what DraftKings' odds imply on all thirty of them. Not most. All thirty. The gap runs from half a cent on the Lions to 3.7 cents on the Commanders, and on the biggest ones it survives Kalshi's fee with room to spare.
A price in cents on Kalshi is what you pay for a contract that returns a dollar if the side wins, so 32 cents on Washington is a 32% price. DraftKings' +180 on the same team pays less than that: convert it and the book is charging about 35.7%. The book builds its margin into the odds. The exchange leaves it out and charges a small fee on the trade instead, which is why the numbers line up this way on every game and not just a few.
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The Board
As of 1:20 PM ET, September 10. Kalshi ask in cents; DraftKings odds converted to the percentage they charge; gap in cents; Kalshi's taker fee per contract at that price.
| Side | DraftKings | DK as a % | Kalshi ask | Gap | Kalshi fee |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders to beat the Eagles | +180 | 35.7% | 32¢ | 3.7¢ | 1.5¢ |
| Titans to beat the Jets | -125 | 55.6% | 52¢ | 3.6¢ | 1.8¢ |
| Packers to beat the Vikings | +102 | 49.5% | 46¢ | 3.5¢ | 1.7¢ |
| Jaguars to beat the Browns | -455 | 82.0% | 79¢ | 3.0¢ | 1.2¢ |
| Raiders to beat the Dolphins | -170 | 63.0% | 60¢ | 3.0¢ | 1.7¢ |
| Chiefs to beat the Broncos | -148 | 59.7% | 57¢ | 2.7¢ | 1.7¢ |
| Saints to beat the Lions | +250 | 28.6% | 26¢ | 2.6¢ | 1.3¢ |
| Ravens to beat the Colts | -175 | 63.6% | 61¢ | 2.6¢ | 1.7¢ |
The other twenty-two sides sit between half a cent and two and a half cents cheaper on the exchange. Kalshi's fee is 7% of the price times one minus the price, per contract, which peaks at 1.75 cents on a coin flip and shrinks toward the ends; the full math is on our Kalshi fees page. So the honest read of the table is this: on the eight sides above, the exchange is cheaper after the fee by one to two cents; on the sides where the gap is under about 1.7 cents, the Lions at 75, the Eagles at 68, the Broncos at 44, the Cowboys at 61, the Browns at 22, the fee eats the difference and the two venues are a wash.
Why It Lines Up This Way
A sportsbook prices both sides of a game so the percentages add to more than 100. DraftKings' Commanders-Eagles moneyline is +180 and -218, which is 35.7% and 68.6%, a total of 104.3%; the extra 4.3 points is the book's hold, split across both sides. On Kalshi the two sides of the same game are separate contracts, Washington at 32 and Philadelphia at 68, and they add to 100 because a trader on the exchange is paying another trader, not the house. The house's cut is the fee, and the fee is smaller than the hold on every game on this board.
That is the structural reason, and it holds on any week. What makes Week 1 stand out is the size of the gaps at the top of the table. The Commanders, Titans and Packers are all three and a half cents or more cheaper on the exchange. The Titans gap is the odd one. DraftKings has Tennessee -125 against the Jets, which is a 55.6% price, while Kalshi has the Titans at 52 cents and 59% of the money at DraftKings is on the Jets despite 65% of the tickets being on Tennessee. The book has not moved its number toward the money yet. The exchange has.
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What The Gap Is Worth, And What It Is Not
Cheaper is not the same as right. A 32-cent Commanders contract is still a bet that Washington wins in Philadelphia; the exchange is only telling you that if you want that side, it costs 32 instead of 36. On a hundred dollars that is about four dollars of price minus a dollar and a half of fee, and over a season of shopping the same side across two venues, that is the margin most bettors lose.
Two cautions. First, Kalshi's 32 is the ask, the price you pay to buy now; the bid is a cent lower, and a large order can walk through several prices, so the gap on a big ticket is a little smaller than the table. Second, the book's number moves. DraftKings will not sit at -125 on the Titans with the money going the other way, and by Sunday morning some of these gaps will have closed from the book's side. The exchange prices on this table are Thursday's. The live odds screen is where you check both venues at once before you bet either.
For the games themselves, the picks pages are up: Commanders at Eagles, Jets at Titans, Packers at Vikings and Browns at Jaguars, and the Week 1 Kalshi player-prop board covers the Sunday slate one player at a time.
What Moves The Price From Here
- The book catches up. The three biggest gaps are on sides where DraftKings' money and tickets disagree. The book usually moves toward the money by Saturday, and each move closes a gap from its side.
- Friday's injury reports. A designation on a starter moves the exchange within minutes and the book within the hour. The gap can open or close in either direction while the news settles.
- Sunday, September 13, 1 PM ET. The 49ers and Rams play tonight in Melbourne, thirteen games kick off Sunday, and Broncos at Chiefs closes the week Monday night. Every contract on this table settles on its final score.
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Hero illustration: OddsShopper, in the house collage style. Jayden Daniels photo by All-Pro Reels, licensed CC BY-SA 4.0; Trevor Lawrence photo by All-Pro Reels, licensed CC BY-SA 2.0; photos cropped, toned, and composited.
Prices quoted are live Kalshi market prices and DraftKings odds as of 1:20 PM ET, September 10, 2026, and will keep moving until these markets settle after the September 13 and 14, 2026 games. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange (18+; availability varies by state). OddsShopper covers prediction markets as an independent analyst: any model or panel figures referenced are model estimates, not predictions of fact and not financial advice. Betting involves risk; contracts can go to zero. Must be 21+ to wager at a sportsbook. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
