Roster cutdowns are done, the preseason is over, and the NFL's 2026 season opens in six days. The AFC Championship odds on Kalshi went through all of that without blinking: 12 of the 16 last-trade prices on the conference-title board sit exactly where they sat on August 12, and the top four names, the Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens, Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers, have not moved a cent. The team that actually won the AFC eight months ago, the New England Patriots, is still tied for fifth.
Nine AI models were handed the same 16-team board this week, with no prices, and asked to split 100 percent of the conference title among the teams. They put the Patriots first at roughly double what the market charges. The reason is a number the standings page hides, and it is the same number that pushes the Ravens, Chiefs and Chargers below their prices. I will get to it after the board; the one line I keep coming back to is New England's, and the case for it does not need a single preseason snap.
The Quick Answer
Kalshi's midpoint prices have the Buffalo Bills on top at 14.5¢, with Baltimore (12.5¢), Kansas City (11.5¢) and the Los Angeles Chargers (10.5¢) behind them. Nine AI models scoring the board price-blind rank it differently: New England first at a 19.0% blend against a 9.5¢ price, Buffalo second at 14.0%, Denver 12.0%, Jacksonville 11.1% against 6.5¢, and the three brand-name teams the market pays for, Baltimore, Kansas City and the Chargers, all below their prices. The full board with every seat's number, the one pattern that explains almost every gap on it, and the line-by-line stories on New England, Jacksonville, Kansas City and Denver are below.
These are model estimates, not predictions of fact and not financial advice.
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What Moved Since The August Read
| Market | 2026-27 AFC Championship: which team wins the AFC and reaches Super Bowl LXI |
| Venue | Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange (18+; availability varies by state, as of September 2026) |
| Ticker | KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27 (16 separate yes/no contracts, one per AFC team) |
| Settles | YES only for the team that wins the AFC Championship Game in late January 2027; Kalshi lists an expected expiration of February 8, 2027 |
| Market Favorite | Buffalo Bills, 14¢ bid / 15¢ ask |
| Panel Favorite | New England Patriots, 19.0% blend |
| Prices As Of | Kalshi bid/ask midpoints, 6:32 a.m. ET, September 3, 2026 |
| Verdicts Generated | September 3, 2026, price-blind, nine seats |
More live boards from the same panel: NFC Championship 2027 (live ladder) · Super Bowl 2027 champion (Kalshi has Kansas City near 12¢) · all 32 NFL win totals vs Kalshi.
These are model estimates, not predictions of fact and not financial advice. Kalshi event contracts trade on a CFTC-regulated exchange; you must be 18 or older and in an eligible state to participate. The prices on this page refresh as the season develops and the "as of" line above carries the stamp. New to event markets? Our guide to how to bet the NFL on Kalshi covers settlement and spreads before you read a single price.
Stillness is the first thing worth pricing here. About $69,700 of face value traded across the 16 markets in the 24 hours before this snapshot, and $37,200 of it was Buffalo alone, so the money that did show up went to the favorite and left the rest of the ladder untouched. Lifetime, the board has traded about $4.89 million of face value with roughly $4.12 million still open, which makes this one of the deeper NFL futures books on the exchange. Deep and quiet at the same time is a specific signal: the crowd looked at three weeks of preseason, a full cutdown, and every injury report, and decided none of it changed the order.
Plenty changed in the world underneath the prices, and all of it was on the card the models read:
- Patrick Mahomes Is On Track For Week 1. The Chiefs quarterback tore his ACL late last season, did not play a preseason snap by design, and per the Associated Press on September 2 "appears on track to start Week 1" against Denver on Monday night, September 14. ESPN's injury feed still lists him as questionable with a September 14 target, so the official word is still to come.
- Kansas City Added The Super Bowl MVP. Kenneth Walker III, Seattle's Super Bowl LX MVP, is on the Chiefs' roster. The card's awards table flags him as one of two 2025 award winners on a new team, alongside Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett, now a Ram.
- New England Added The Interceptions Leader. Kevin Byard, whose seven picks led the league in 2025 with Chicago, is a Patriot. Mike Vrabel, the reigning Coach of the Year, and Drake Maye, who led the league in passer rating at 113, both return.
- Jacksonville Lost Two Starters Who Produced. Travis Etienne Jr., ninth in the league in total touchdowns, is a Saint. Devin Lloyd, second in interceptions with five, is a Panther.
- Houston's Injury List Is The Worst Among The Contenders. Wide receivers Tank Dell (ACL and MCL, targeted for mid-October) and Jayden Higgins (ACL, out for the season), tackle Braden Smith (foot, injured reserve) and linebacker E.J. Speed (quadriceps, reserve/PUP for the season) are all out as of the September 3 feed.
- Preseason Is Closed. The last exhibition was August 29. The panel was told the results and told to treat them as exhibitions, which is why a 37-13 New England loss to Cleveland on August 28 moved nothing.
Our August scoring of this board, six seats, put Denver on top at 15.8% and New England fourth at 12.2%. The September panel had three more seats, a card that carried every team's 2025 point differential, and the full injury feed from the day it ran, and the favorite flipped. The pattern section below shows what the seats say they weighted.
How Nine AI Models Scored The Board
Every seat received the same fetched data card and no prices. The card carried the full 2025 standings with point differential, every 2025 playoff result, each team's current head coach and quarterback room, the 2025 award winners and top-10 statistical leaders cross-checked against today's rosters, the 2026 preseason scores, every team's 2026 opponent slate with its strength measured by opponents' 2025 win percentage, 20 years of Super Bowl-champion base rates, and the ESPN injury designations fetched at 7:52 a.m. UTC on September 3. Each seat had to split 100 percent across the 16 AFC teams in one call, so no team's number can contradict another's. Nine of the panel's seats returned a board: Fable, Opus, Sonnet, GPT, Gemini, Grok, Kimi, GLM and DeepSeek.
After the blind first round, each seat read the other eight boards and their reasoning with the names stripped, and could revise once. The revision moved the medians by a point at most. The blend shown below is the seat median for each team, renormalized so the 16 numbers add to 100, and every one of the 144 per-team calls was written to our public grading ledger as it was made. When the AFC title is decided in January, each seat's number lands on the full graded scoreboard, right or wrong. The same nine-seat run priced the NFC side of the bracket in the same call, and the panel's league-level read lives on our Super Bowl LXI champion board.
The Board: All 16 Teams
"Kalshi" is the midpoint between the resting bid and ask in cents at the snapshot above. Thirteen of the 16 contracts carry both a bid and an ask; Cleveland, Miami and the Jets are one-sided at zero bid and a one-cent ask, so their half-cent midpoints are displayed prices, not real quotes. The asks add to 110 cents, the bids to 94, and the midpoints to 102, so a midpoint here runs about two percent rich against a true probability. "Panel" is the nine-seat blend, and "Gap" is panel minus market, in points.
| Team | 2025 record, point margin | Kalshi | Panel | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 12-5, 116 | 14.5¢ | 14.0% | −0.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 8-9, +26 | 12.5¢ | 8.0% | −4.5 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6-11, +34 | 11.5¢ | 8.5% | −3.0 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 11-6, +28 | 10.5¢ | 5.5% | −5.0 |
| New England Patriots | 14-3, 170 | 9.5¢ | 19.0% | +9.5 |
| Houston Texans | 12-5, 109 | 9.5¢ | 9.1% | −0.4 |
| Denver Broncos | 14-3, +90 | 9.5¢ | 12.0% | +2.5 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6-11, −78 | 8.5¢ | 4.0% | −4.5 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 13-4, 138 | 6.5¢ | 11.1% | +4.6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 10-7, +10 | 2.5¢ | 3.0% | +0.5 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8-9, +54 | 2.5¢ | 2.5% | 0.0 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3-14, −194 | 1.5¢ | 0.5% | −1.0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 3-14, −191 | 1.5¢ | 0.5% | −1.0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 5-12, −100 | 0.5¢ | 0.7% | +0.2 |
| Miami Dolphins | 7-10, −77 | 0.5¢ | 1.0% | +0.5 |
| New York Jets | 3-14, −203 | 0.5¢ | 0.5% | 0.0 |
The row that matters is the fifth one. New England, the reigning AFC champion, carries the widest gap on the board by a distance: a 9.5-cent price against a 19.0% blend, with the lowest seat at 17.2% and the highest at 23.5%. In payout terms, a 10-cent ask turns $100 into about $1,000 if the Patriots win the conference again, and nothing if they do not. The panel's number says that happens roughly one time in five. The market's says one in ten.
Every Seat's Number
Per-seat numbers follow. Seats priced the conference as one partition, so each column adds to about 100 before rounding.
| Team | Fable | Opus | Sonnet | GPT | Gemini | Grok | Kimi | GLM | DeepSeek | Blend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots | 18.0 | 21.5 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 18.0 | 17.2 | 19.0 | 18.0 | 23.5 | 19.0 |
| Buffalo Bills | 14.0 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.1 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 |
| Denver Broncos | 11.5 | 12.5 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 10.1 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 10.5 | 11.2 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.1 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 11.1 |
| Houston Texans | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 9.1 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 8.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 7.5 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4.5 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3.0 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| New York Jets | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
These are model estimates, not predictions of fact and not financial advice. Read the Kansas City column left to right and you see the one place the nine seats could not agree: eight of them put the Chiefs between 7% and 10.1%, and one, DeepSeek, landed at 1.5% after the revision round. That disagreement gets its own section below, because it is the cleanest argument on the whole board about what a 6-11 season with a healthy Mahomes is worth.
One Pattern: The Market Buys Names, The Panel Buys Point Differential
Line the two orderings up and one thing explains nearly every gap. The market's top four are Buffalo, Baltimore, Kansas City and the Chargers. Three of those four posted a 2025 point differential of 34 points or worse: the Ravens outscored opponents by 26 points across 17 games, the Chargers by 28, the Chiefs by 34. The panel's top four are New England, Buffalo, Denver and Jacksonville, and its top five, taken as a set, are the conference's five best differentials from last season: 170, 138, 116, 109 and +90.
The card the seats read included 20 years of Super Bowl champions, and the number that stands out in that table is the average champion's regular-season differential, 118 points. Fifteen of the 20 had made the playoffs the year before, by the standings; the card the seats read tallied it at 18, so the panel worked with a stiffer non-playoff penalty than the record supports. Every seat leaned on the differential history the same way. Fable's one-line summary of its own board was "point differential over record everywhere," and Gemini's was that "point differential reveals true team strength better than raw record, while the variance of a single-elimination bracket necessarily caps the ceiling of top-tier favorites." Nine models with different training and different vendors converged on the same rule, which is either a real insight or a shared blind spot, and the graded ledger will tell us which by February.
The market is weighting something else. A 12.5-cent Baltimore price on an 8-9 team with a first-year head coach only makes sense if Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry count for more than last year's scoring margin; the same goes for 11.5 cents on Mahomes and Andy Reid, and 10.5 on Justin Herbert and Jim Harbaugh. None of those prices is crazy. Quarterbacks and coaches win in January too. But the board's four widest gaps, New England, the Chargers, Jacksonville and the Baltimore-Cincinnati pair, all sit exactly where a names-versus-differential disagreement would put them. Keep that in mind through the line-by-line reads, because the panel's argument for each is the same argument wearing a different jersey.
The pattern in one line: the market's top four averaged a 51-point scoring margin in 2025; the panel's top four averaged 129. Everything below is that disagreement, one team at a time.
The Widest Gaps, Line By Line
New England Patriots: 9.5¢ Against 19.0%
The case is short. New England went 14-3 with the best point differential in the AFC, 170 points. It beat the Chargers 16-3 and Houston 28-16 in the playoffs, then won the conference title game in Denver 10-7 before losing Super Bowl LX to Seattle 29-13. Maye led the league in passer rating, threw for 4,394 yards and 31 touchdowns, and is 24. Vrabel was Coach of the Year. The offseason added the league's interceptions leader to the secondary. On the September 3 injury feed the panel read, which lists out, injured-reserve, PUP and suspension designations with a named injury, New England's only entry was tackle Marcus Bryant, on injured reserve with a designation to return.
Two things drive the market's discount, and the panel accepted one of them. The first is the schedule: New England's 2026 opponents posted a combined .531 win percentage last season, sixth-hardest in the league and the hardest of any AFC contender except Kansas City. The second is the idea that champions do not repeat. On the card, one team in 19 chances repeated as Super Bowl champion, about 5%. Opus refused to apply that number here:
This market settles on the conference title, one round earlier, where returning finalists recur far more often. — Opus
That distinction is the entire New England gap. A 5% repeat rate for Super Bowls is a fact about a two-conference, four-round tournament. The AFC title is one round shorter and drawn from one conference, and the panel's 19% is what you get when you cap the conference's best team below 20 for the bracket's randomness without also charging it a repeat penalty it never earned. Even the lowest seat on the Patriots, Grok at 17.2%, sits nearly eight points above the price.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 6.5¢ Against 11.1%
Jacksonville is the board's quiet second gap. The Jaguars went 13-4, won the AFC South, and posted a 138-point differential, second-best in the conference, before losing a 27-24 wild-card game to Buffalo. Trevor Lawrence threw for 4,007 yards and 29 touchdowns. The 2026 slate is soft, a .490 opponent win percentage. All nine seats put Jacksonville between 10% and 14%, against a market price that has the Jaguars ninth on the board, behind Cincinnati.
The panel did not pretend the offseason was clean. GPT's read carried the caveat every seat named in some form:
Liam Coen plus the losses of Devin Lloyd and Travis Etienne keep them below Buffalo/Denver. — GPT
That is why the number is 11 and not 14. A division winner with the conference's second-best scoring margin, a returning quarterback and a soft schedule, priced at 6.5 cents, is the kind of line the differential rule finds and the name rule misses. Our AFC South odds board prices the division race the Jaguars would need to win to get the home game that matters.
Baltimore, The Chargers And Cincinnati: The Names Priced Above Their Numbers
Three contracts carry gaps of 4.5 to 5 points against the panel, and they share a shape. Baltimore is 12.5 cents against 8.0%. The Chargers are 10.5 against 5.5%. Cincinnati is 8.5 against 4.0%. Each is a quarterback everyone knows attached to a 2025 team that did not score like a contender.
Baltimore is the most defensible of the three, and the panel says so: eight of nine seats have the Ravens between 7% and 8.1%, which is still a top-seven number, and the card gives them one of the three easiest 2026 slates among AFC contenders at .479, behind Cincinnati and Houston. Lamar Jackson posted a 104 passer rating and Derrick Henry ran for 1,595 yards on an 8-9 team, and Jesse Minter, the former Chargers defensive coordinator, is the new head coach. Grok's dark-horse note put the bounce-back case in one sentence: "new HC Jesse Minter satisfies exception conditioning for an 8-9 non-playoff team, Lamar Jackson posted a 104 rating, and Baltimore draws the second-easiest AFC contender slate (.479)." The panel's objection is the 12.5-cent price, for a team whose 2025 scoring margin was +26, and it is the one place on this board where I would not be surprised to see the market proven right by Thanksgiving. Our AFC North odds board has the divisional version of that same disagreement.
The Chargers are the widest of the three, and the case against the price is the trench. Los Angeles went 11-6 on a +28 differential, then lost its wild-card game to New England 16-3. Center Tyler Biadasz is on injured reserve with a knee injury and tackle Isaiah World is on the non-football injury list, both as of the September 3 feed, on a line that lost its center and a tackle before Week 1. Cincinnati is the outlier in the other direction: a −78 differential, the only negative number among the market's top nine, on a 6-11 team. Joe Burrow's 101 rating and Ja'Marr Chase's 1,412 yards and 125 catches keep the Bengals from being buried, and the panel's 4% is half the price.
Kansas City Chiefs: 11.5¢ Against 8.5%, And The One Seat That Said 1.5%
Kansas City is the board's most interesting argument because the panel split on it and the split is about principle. Eight seats read the Chiefs' 6-11 as an injury artifact: a +34 point differential on a losing record is, in Kimi's words, "a contender priced off an injury-wrecked standings line, not a decaying roster." Mahomes is 30, on track for Week 1 per the AP, and Reid is still the head coach. Walker III, the Super Bowl MVP, is in the backfield. Those eight seats landed between 7% and 10.1%.
DeepSeek read the same card and, after the revision round, landed at 1.5%, on the card's own test for teams that missed the playoffs: most Super Bowl champions of the last 20 years were playoff teams the season before, and the card asks anyone pricing a 2025 non-playoff team as a contender to name a quarterback or head coach who was not there last season. DeepSeek says Kansas City cannot:
The card's exception-conditioning test requires a new QB or HC for a non-playoff team to be a live contender; KC has neither, so the 90% base rate dominates. — DeepSeek
Both readings are honest, though the penalty DeepSeek applied is stiffer than the record supports, since five of the last 20 Super Bowl champions came from outside the previous year's playoff field, and the median lands at 8.5%, three points under the market. A date settles the argument. The Chiefs open at home against Denver on Monday night, September 14, the game our Week 1 AI board flagged as the slate's widest market-versus-panel disagreement, and the game we broke down line by line after the panel ran it. A Mahomes who looks like Mahomes on September 14 is the single result most likely to move this board, and Kansas City draws the hardest 2026 schedule of any AFC contender, a .536 opponent win percentage, so the evidence will arrive fast. Before that game kicks off, our NFL live odds screen shops the Week 1 number across every major book, which is where the "is he really back" question gets priced first.
Denver Broncos: 9.5¢ Against 12.0%
Denver was the panel's favorite in August and is its third team now, and the reason it dropped is the same reason New England rose. The Broncos went 14-3 and earned the No. 1 seed, beat Buffalo 33-30 in the divisional round, and lost the AFC title game at home 10-7. But 14-3 came with a +90 differential, the weakest of any AFC team with more than 12 wins. Gemini's note on the line: "Denver (14-3) only earns 12.0% because their +90 differential lags their record, suggesting close-game luck that evaporates in January." Fable called Denver "14-3 on only +90, the weakest differential among the AFC's elite."
Denver in one line: a No. 1 seed and a 14-3 record built on a 90-point margin, which the panel reads as the third-best profile in the AFC, not the first.
The panel still has Denver 2.5 points above its price, because a No. 1 seed with Bo Nix, 3,931 passing yards last season, and Nik Bonitto's 14 sacks is a real contender, and the 2026 slate is middling at .512. The change is that the seats now treat Denver as the third-best profile in the conference rather than the first, and at 9.5 cents the market has it tied for fifth. Guard Nick Gargiulo (ACL, reserve/PUP) and center Michael Deiter (quadriceps, injured reserve) are the offseason's costs on the line. The Broncos' division, priced on our AFC West odds board, is where their path to a second straight top seed starts, and it runs through Kansas City twice.
Buffalo And Houston: Where The Two Systems Agree
Buffalo is the one place the market and the panel shake hands: 14.5 cents against 14.0%, and it is also where the money went. Of the roughly $69,700 of face value that traded on the whole board in the 24 hours before this snapshot, $37,200 was the Bills contract, so more than half of a day's flow on the AFC title went to the one line where the two systems already agree. Nobody was arguing with that price; they were parking in it. Josh Allen threw 25 touchdowns and ran for 14 more, James Cook III led the league with 1,621 rushing yards, and the 116 differential is the conference's third-best. Joe Brady's promotion from offensive coordinator reads as continuity. The panel would not put the Bills first, because nothing in the 2025 numbers says they were better than New England, but no seat had them lower than 13%. The Bills open at Houston on September 13.
Houston is agreement of a different kind. The Texans went 12-5 with a 109-point differential and beat Pittsburgh 30-6 in the wild-card round, and their 2026 opponents posted a combined .474 win percentage, one of the softest slates in the conference. On numbers alone that is a top-four profile. The injury list is what keeps the panel at 9.1%, right on the price: GPT's read was that "the card's injury list is materially worse than most contenders," and with Dell and Higgins both out and the right tackle on injured reserve, that is a fair haircut. If Dell is back in October and the line holds up, this number moves; Higgins is gone for the year.
What Would Change The Panel's Mind
Every seat was asked to name the developments that would move its numbers. One answer came back from all nine, a second from three, and the last two are mine, all checkable by mid-October.
- Mahomes On September 14. Named by all nine seats. A full-speed Mahomes against Denver pulls Kansas City up toward its price and would likely pull DeepSeek's 1.5% off the board. A setback, or a start that looks compromised, sends the mass to Buffalo, New England and Denver.
- Drake Maye's Health. Three seats named a Maye injury as the result that collapses the top of the board, and New England's schedule makes him the highest-leverage health question on the AFC side. The same logic runs for Allen and Nix, though no seat spelled it out.
- The Bye Race By Thanksgiving. New England, Buffalo, Denver and Jacksonville are competing for the conference's lone first-round bye, and the schedule differences are real: Jacksonville's .490 slate against New England's .531. Whoever is on track for the bye in late November gets the extra round the panel's bracket math cares about.
- Tank Dell In October. Dell's mid-October target is the single most concrete injury date on the board. Houston with Dell and a healthy line is the panel's fourth-best profile on the numbers; Houston without them is the 9% you see.
| Regular Season Kicks Off | Wednesday, September 9, 2026 (Patriots at Seahawks); the Bills open at Houston on September 13 and the Broncos at Kansas City on September 14 |
| Trade Deadline | Early November 2026, the next roster-shaping catalyst |
| Playoffs Begin | Mid-January 2027 (Wild Card round) |
| AFC Title Decided | AFC Championship Game, late January 2027 |
| Contracts Expire | Kalshi lists an expected expiration of February 8, 2027 |
| Contract Backstop | Each KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27 contract settles YES only if that team wins the AFC Championship; every other team's contract settles NO |
This page is re-scored when the story moves, and the prices and blend above carry the September 3, 2026 stamp. Every number on it is graded in public once the market settles. The full NFL slate the panel tracks, from regular-season win totals to the Super Bowl LXI champion board, sits on our NFL prediction markets hub, and the picks version of the same runs lives on our Kalshi NFL picks page. If you would rather read a human's card than a model's, our free expert picks post every day of the season.
To be explicit: these are model estimates, not predictions of fact and not financial advice. Kalshi event contracts trade on a CFTC-regulated exchange, you must be 18 or older and in an eligible state to participate, and prices move. All nine of the panel's seats completed both rounds on this board.
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